Kousuke Ogura vs Jera Staley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• **Second Serve Performance**: Kousuke Ogura has a slight disadvantage, winning 44.35% of second serve points compared to Jera Staley's 44.58%. Could this marginal difference impact the match outcome?
• **Return Game Strength**: Jera Staley excels in returning, with a 48.44% win rate on opponent's second serves versus Ogura's 44.41%. However, Ogura has an edge in first serve returns, winning 28.26% against Staley's 24.53%.
• **Handling Pressure**: Staley demonstrates superior composure under pressure, saving 75% of breakpoints compared to Ogura’s 52.71%.
• **Overall Match Performance**: Ogura has a slight edge, achieving a 41.51% win rate over the past year, while Staley stands at 38.89%.
• **Preferred Surface**: Ogura's best surface is Hard with a 50% win rate, whereas Staley performs best on Indoor Hard with the same percentage. What influence will the surface type have on their upcoming match?
• **Competitive Environment**: Both players predominantly compete at Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, with Ogura slightly outperforming Staley, winning 43.24% of such matches compared to Staley's 38.89%.
• **Encountered Opponent Quality**: Staley has faced tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 121.67 compared to Ogura's 415.64-ranked opponents.
• **Deciding Set Tenacity**: Staley has a better record in deciding sets, winning 50% of them, while Ogura has won 31% over the last year.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an intriguing picture of strengths and situational advantages. Jera Staley shows better performance under stress, as indicated by their higher breakpoint save percentage, which could prove pivotal in crucial moments of the match.

Kousuke Ogura, however, has a reliable game on hard surfaces and a marginally better match win rate over the past year, suggesting resilience and adaptability on their preferred surface.

While Staley faces more challenging opponents, which reflects on their recent stats, this experience against higher caliber players may offer them an unexpected edge in handling pressure situations.

Considering Staley's superior return stats and performance in deciding sets, they appear to be the more likely contender to win this match. Expect Jera Staley to edge out Kousuke Ogura with tactical returning and decisive mental fortitude in critical stages.